The upcoming provincial election campaign is set to commence this week, with Thursday, Aug. 27 likely marking the official start. While the campaign has not officially launched yet, the five primary political parties have been actively engaged in election preparations for some time. Here’s an overview of the significance of this election, insights into the main party leaders, and key issues that might emerge during the campaign.
This election is slated for Oct. 5, marking the first time since 2018 that Quebecers will not be electing a government led by François Legault. Legault, who secured consecutive majority governments in 2018 and 2022, stepped down earlier this year. Christine Fréchette succeeded him as premier in April after winning the party’s leadership contest. Polls indicate a closely contested race for the premiership this year, with 48% of voters having made their decisions and 49% remaining open to changing their minds, according to an Aug. 11 Léger poll. Speculation suggests the potential for a minority government, a scenario not seen since 2012 under a Pauline Marois PQ government. It is noteworthy that this year features 127 ridings, up from 125, requiring 64 seats for a majority.
The main party leaders include Christine Fréchette (CAQ), Ruba Ghazal (Québec Solidaire), Charles Milliard (Quebec Liberal Party), Éric Duhaime (Conservative Party of Quebec), and Paul St-Pierre Plamondon (Parti Québécois). Fréchette, an MNA since 2022 in the Sanguinet riding, is running in Trois-Rivières this time. St-Pierre Plamondon, also an MNA, is contesting in the Camille-Laurin riding, while Charles Milliard is seeking election in Orford. Duhaime is running in Bellechasse, and Ghazal aims to secure the Mercier riding.
Each party faces unique challenges and goals in this election. The PQ leads in polls, notwithstanding Quebecers’ limited interest in a referendum promised by the party. The CAQ and its opponents are closely watching the election dynamics after Legault’s departure. The Liberals are striving for a resurgence under Milliard’s leadership following setbacks in previous elections. The Conservative party aims for a breakthrough, particularly in the Quebec City region. Québec Solidaire is navigating leadership changes but has shown positive trends in recent polls.
Key campaign issues include health and social services, cost of living, housing, and the economy, according to the Aug. 11 Léger poll. The PQ’s referendum plans are expected to be a contentious topic, especially given the delayed timeline until U.S. President Donald Trump leaves office in 2029. Recent U.S.-Canada trade tensions are also likely to feature prominently in campaign discussions.
